Monday, September 17, 2012

Heather's Internal Poll Says Shows Her 5 Points Behind

Republican Heather Wilson's U.S. Senate campaign this afternoon released an internal poll showing her 5 percentage points behind Democratic front-runner Martin Heinrich.

According to the poll, Heinrich had 46 percent.of the vote while Wilson had 41 percent. The poll of 500 likely voters was conducted conducted by Public Opinion Strategies, a Republican company  Sept. 12-13.

Says the campaign:

Heather Wilson continues her comeback in the New Mexico Senate race with a new poll showing her within striking distance of Congressman Martin Heinrich. This represents a significant change from just a few weeks ago when polls showed Wilson down by double digits, and political bloggers all but declared her chances of winning dead.

Wilson, who has a long history of come-from-behind victories, has been steadily climbing her way back in the last few weeks. Wilson trailed Heinrich by 10 points in mid-August, according to internal polls. However, just last week, an Albuquerque Journal poll showed Wilson down by 7. And now, just one week later, a new poll by Public Opinion Strategies shows Wilson down by just 5 points, barely outside the poll's 4.38% margin of error.

That's one way of looking at it. But the Heinrich campaign was quick to point to this item in the National Journal:

"Not a good sign for your campaign: Releasing an internal poll showing you down five points.

"In a sign of how far Heather Wilson's prospects have fallen in the New Mexico Senate race, the Republican nominee's campaign did just that on Monday -- and touted the results as a `comeback.' ...

"While the race was once considered likely to be close, more recent polls have showed Heinrich pulling away -- and the National Republican Senatorial Committee has pulled its advertising from the state, indicating that the GOP no longer considers it a good pick-up prospect."

UPDATE: 4:02 p.m. I had incorrect numbers in the first version of this post. They have been corrected.