Wednesday, July 11, 2012

Obama, Heinrich Lead in New Poll

An Illinois-based polling company called We Ask America released a new poll today showing that President Obama has a double-digit lead over Republican Mitt Romney in the race for New Mexico's five electoral votes. Obama leads Romney 51 percent to 40 percent, according to the poll. Nine percent are undecided.

The same poll shows Democrat Martin Heinrich with a nine point lead over Republican Heather Wilson -- 51 percent to 42 percent. Seven percent are undecided in this race, according to the poll.

The presidential poll is generally in line with other recent polls in New Mexico. A late April poll by Democratic-leaning company Public Policy Polling showed Obama with with a 14 point lead over Romney .

However, the Senate poll by We Ask America has Heinrich with a significantly stronger lead over Wilson than he has had in other polls. The April PPP survey showed Heinrich with just a five point lead over Wilson.

We Asked America conducted this automated poll Monday and Tuesday. A total of 1,227 "likely voters" were surveyed. The margin of error is 2.8 percent.

The company apparently determined who was a "likely" voter by asking about their intention to vote. According to the web post:

"As in all of the series of states we’re polling by automated means, after qualifying each individual in regards to ability (registered) and intention to vote this fall, we asked the following straightforward questions: If the election for president were held today, for whom would you vote and If the election for U.S. Senator were held today, for whom would you vote?"
We Ask America is a subsidiary of the Illinois Manufacturers' Association. For more information on that company, check out this article in the Springfield State Journal-Register.